Melek Hilal Eroğlu

Melek Hilal Eroğlu

PhD Student in Political Science

University of Pittsburgh

I am a PhD student in Political Science at University of Pittsburgh studying voting behavior, negative partisanship, polarization, and political parties in Europe. I am particularly interested in how negative partisanship and polarization affect voting behavior.

Working Papers

How Affective Polarization Influences Vote Choice in European Democracies (presented at MPSA 2022)


How do the affectively polarized individuals make voting decisions in multiparty systems? Although scholars find support for the presence of affective polarization in European democracies, few studies focus on the voting behavior of affectively polarized individuals. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to study the impact of affective polarization on vote choice. Drawing on the earlier literature arguing that the affectively polarized individuals are more likely to be interested in electoral outcomes, I argue that they are more likely to be strategic voters. In order to prevent their least preferred party to influence the policy-making process, affectively polarized individuals would vote for a powerful party in their ideological bloc which may not be the ideologically closest. Using individual-level data from the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES Modules 1-5) from 1996 to 2019, my analysis provides empirical support for my main expectations in 21 European countries for 80 elections. The findings have important implications for affective polarization and political representation in Europe.

Works in Progress

  • Determinants, Consequences, and Remedies of Negative Partisanship in Europe
  • Clarity of Alternatives and Economic Voting


Teaching Assistant in Analysis of Comparative Politics
Jan 2022 – Apr 2022
  • Grading assignments
Teaching Assistant in Visualizing and Understanding Social Data
Jan 2022 – Apr 2022
  • Teaching R
  • Grading weekly problem sets
Teaching Assistant in Comparative Politics
Aug 2021 – Dec 2021
  • Leading weekly discussion
  • Grading exams
Teaching Assistant in Methods and Scope of Political Analysis
Sep 2019 – Jan 2020
  • Teaching Stata and LaTeX
  • Grading weekly problem sets
Teaching Assistant in Research Methods
Sep 2018 – May 2019
  • Leading weekly discussion
  • Teaching statistical analysis